[外文翻譯]未來(lái)旅游業(yè)模擬器:一種系統(tǒng)的思考方式/The Tourism Futures Simulator: a systems thinking approach
Paul A. Walker
內(nèi)包含中文翻譯和英文原文，內(nèi)容完善，建議下載閱覽。

①中文頁(yè)數(shù) 6

中文字?jǐn)?shù) 4555

②英文頁(yè)數(shù) 7

英文字?jǐn)?shù) 15927

③ 摘要
旅游業(yè)經(jīng)營(yíng)作為一種復(fù)雜的系統(tǒng)。就其本身而言，該產(chǎn)業(yè)包含了相互依賴的產(chǎn)業(yè)活動(dòng)和無(wú)數(shù)的因素。另外，它在經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、環(huán)境和政策等各種各樣的空間水平有雙向關(guān)系。在與旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)合作方面，CSIRO已經(jīng)建立了一個(gè)創(chuàng)新的框架來(lái)評(píng)估未來(lái)旅游業(yè)項(xiàng)目的利益和基于自然的政策選擇對(duì)旅游業(yè)活動(dòng)的發(fā)展造成的沖擊。本文的研究區(qū)域是北昆士蘭包括道格拉斯郡和大堡礁。并且描述了這個(gè)框架的開(kāi)發(fā)和發(fā)展過(guò)程。更重要的是摸綠出了旅游業(yè)在社會(huì)、經(jīng)濟(jì)和環(huán)境等不同情境中的發(fā)展結(jié)果。

Tourism operates as a complex system. In itself, the industry contains a myriad of factors and activities which are inter-dependent. In addition, there are two-way relationships to economic, social, environmental and policy factors at various spatial levels. In collaboration with the tourism industry, CSIRO has established the Tourism Futures Project which aims to develop an innovative framework for eva luating the bene?ts and impacts of nature-based tourism and the policy options for managing tourism activity and development. The case study area comprises Douglas Shire in Northern Queensland and the Cairns section of the Great Barrier Reef. This paper describes the progress in developing this framework for mapping and summarizing key social, economic and environmental outcomes of various development scenarios in annual steps to the year 2020. We refer to the framework as the Tourism Futures Simulator (TFS).

④關(guān)鍵字 旅游業(yè) /Tourism

⑤參考文獻(xiàn)
保羅A.沃克爾.未來(lái)旅游業(yè)模擬器：一種系統(tǒng)的思考方式[J].環(huán)境科學(xué),1999,14, 59-67.